Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.155804 0.184085 0.215649 0.253432 0.297375 0.346813 0.406594
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.113069 0.149955 0.195668 0.256241 0.334129 0.430624 0.558915
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.085864 0.124895 0.177460 0.252897 0.357759 0.497639 0.697510
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.070920 0.111403 0.169804 0.259284 0.391793 0.579395 0.863341
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.058220 0.097931 0.158815 0.257620 0.412240 0.642719 1.009269
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.047745 0.085517 0.146739 0.251414 0.423569 0.692293 1.138922
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039390 0.074813 0.135270 0.243741 0.430465 0.734449 1.260297
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.034843 0.069769 0.132205 0.249152 0.458786 0.812975 1.447588
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030793 0.064839 0.128435 0.252480 0.483440 0.887412 1.635250
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027100 0.059889 0.123771 0.253287 0.503279 0.955080 1.817568
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024288 0.056192 0.120861 0.256822 0.528238 1.033914 2.027149
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022341 0.053954 0.120459 0.265083 0.562941 1.133694 2.284529
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019226 0.048661 0.113130 0.258550 0.568287 1.179974 2.448433
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017229 0.045575 0.110051 0.260544 0.591267 1.262904 2.692229
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015105 0.041772 0.104780 0.256954 0.601948 1.322249 2.894898
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013913 0.040069 0.104039 0.263393 0.634945 1.430248 3.206946
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012386 0.037195 0.100059 0.261694 0.649504 1.500865 3.447512
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010819 0.033897 0.094508 0.255393 0.652638 1.547025 3.639958
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009395 0.030706 0.088709 0.247605 0.651200 1.582738 3.812663
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008719 0.029580 0.088154 0.253097 0.682496 1.695174 4.167417
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008026 0.028259 0.086864 0.256474 0.708910 1.798840 4.511615
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.007311 0.026725 0.084740 0.257293 0.728894 1.889239 4.833150
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.006762 0.025618 0.083669 0.260881 0.756490 2.000495 5.214229